赔率学院

Matteo Arnaldi v Mackenzie McDonald

开赛时间: 2026-03-06 03:25 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (主队)

预测 40.42%2.47公平赔率
EV +1.86%
优势 +0.738%
Kelly +1.22%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
37.72%40.33%40.72%42.86%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.162.342.322.5246.30%42.81%43.10%39.68%MIN均值中位数MAX

Mackenzie McDonald (客队)

预测 59.58%1.68公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -2.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.14%59.67%59.28%62.28%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.69%62.11%60.61%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
DraftKings2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +1.45%E +0.579%K +0.963%G +0.014%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.05%E +0.420%K +0.700%G +0.007%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -0.162%E -0.066%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:20
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:20
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.80%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 03:20
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 03:18
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:19
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 03:17
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:19
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 03:17
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 03:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 03:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 03:20
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:17
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:19
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -12.69%E -5.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 03:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%1.9%2026-03-06 03:20