Die Wettquotenschule

Matteo Arnaldi v Mackenzie McDonald

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-06 03:25 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)

Prognose 40.42%2.47faire Quote
EV +1.86%
Vorteil +0.738%
Kelly +1.22%
Wachstum +0.023%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.72%40.33%40.72%42.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.162.342.322.5246.30%42.81%43.10%39.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Mackenzie McDonald (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.58%1.68faire Quote
EV -1.69%
Vorteil -1.03%
Kelly -2.60%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.14%59.67%59.28%62.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.69%62.11%60.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
DraftKings2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +1.45%E +0.579%K +0.963%G +0.014%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.05%E +0.420%K +0.700%G +0.007%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -0.162%E -0.066%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:20
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:20
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.80%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 03:20
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 03:18
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:19
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 03:17
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:19
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 03:17
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 03:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 03:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 03:20
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:17
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:19
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -12.69%E -5.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%1.9%2026-03-06 03:20