La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Arnaldi v Mackenzie McDonald
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Arnaldi (Casa)
Previsione 40.42%2.47quota equa
EV +1.86%
Vantaggio +0.738%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.023%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.72%40.33%40.72%42.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.162.342.322.5246.30%42.81%43.10%39.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mackenzie McDonald (Trasferta)
Previsione 59.58%1.68quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.14%59.67%59.28%62.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.69%62.11%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +1.45%E +0.579%K +0.963%G +0.014% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.05%E +0.420%K +0.700%G +0.007% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -0.162%E -0.066%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.80%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| GTbets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 03:18 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -12.69%E -5.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Novig | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |