Школа коэффициентов

Matteo Arnaldi v Mackenzie McDonald

Начало: 2026-03-06 03:25 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Хозяева)

Прогноз 40.42%2.47справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.86%
Преимущество +0.738%
Kelly +1.22%
Рост +0.023%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.52

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.72%40.33%40.72%42.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.162.342.322.5246.30%42.81%43.10%39.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Mackenzie McDonald (Гости)

Прогноз 59.58%1.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.69%
Преимущество -1.03%
Kelly -2.60%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.14%59.67%59.28%62.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.69%62.11%60.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
DraftKings2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +1.45%E +0.579%K +0.963%G +0.014%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.05%E +0.420%K +0.700%G +0.007%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -0.162%E -0.066%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:20
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:20
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 03:20
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.80%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 03:20
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 03:18
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:19
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 03:17
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:19
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:15
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 03:17
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 03:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 03:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 03:20
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 03:17
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:19
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 03:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -12.69%E -5.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 03:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-03-06 03:20
Novig2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%1.9%2026-03-06 03:20