L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Matteo Arnaldi v Mackenzie McDonald
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Prévision 40.42%2.47cote équitable
EV +1.86%
Avantage +0.738%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.72%40.33%40.72%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.342.322.5246.30%42.81%43.10%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mackenzie McDonald (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.58%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%59.67%59.28%62.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.69%62.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +1.45%E +0.579%K +0.963%G +0.014% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.05%E +0.420%K +0.700%G +0.007% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -0.162%E -0.066%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.80%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| GTbets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 03:18 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -12.69%E -5.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Novig | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |