مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Matteo Arnaldi v Mackenzie McDonald
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Matteo Arnaldi (المضيف)
التنبؤ 40.42%2.47السعر العادل
EV +1.86%
الأفضلية +0.738%
Kelly +1.22%
النمو +0.023%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.52
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.72%40.33%40.72%42.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.162.342.322.5246.30%42.81%43.10%39.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Mackenzie McDonald (الضيف)
التنبؤ 59.58%1.68السعر العادل
EV -1.69%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -2.60%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.14%59.67%59.28%62.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.69%62.11%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.86%E +0.738%K +1.22%G +0.023% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV +1.45%E +0.579%K +0.963%G +0.014% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.05%E +0.420%K +0.700%G +0.007% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -0.162%E -0.066%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.971%E -0.396%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.99%E -1.25%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.80%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| GTbets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.61%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 03:18 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.63%E -2.87%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.88%E -1.77%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 03:17 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.69%E -1.03%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.27%E -3.31%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.86%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.11%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.08%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.67%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -12.69%E -5.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |
| Novig | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 03:20 |