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Marton Fucsovics v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Prediction 30.49%3.28fair odd
EV +3.68%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.63%30.49%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 69.51%1.44fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -6.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.37%69.51%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.13%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 30.49%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 69.51%. For Marton Fucsovics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.68%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.895%E -0.275%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.20%E -0.370%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 23:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 22:57 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.25%E -6.25%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |