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Marton Fucsovics v Arthur Fils
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Marton Fucsovics (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.49%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.68%
Преимущество +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Рост +0.056%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.12%30.63%30.49%32.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arthur Fils (Гости)
Прогноз 69.51%1.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.69%
Преимущество -1.92%
Kelly -6.73%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.44%69.37%69.51%71.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.13%73.53%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Marton Fucsovics (Хозяева): 30.49%; Arthur Fils (Гости): 69.51%. Для исхода «Marton Fucsovics (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.28. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.68%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.68%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.895%E -0.275%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.20%E -0.370%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 23:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 22:57 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.25%E -6.25%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |