Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marton Fucsovics v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Previsão 30.49%3.28odd justa
EV +3.68%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%30.63%30.49%32.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 69.51%1.44odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -6.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.37%69.51%71.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.13%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 30.49%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 69.51%. Para Marton Fucsovics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.28. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.68%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.68%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:58
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.895%E -0.275%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:20
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.20%E -0.370%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-08 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:15
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 23:13
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 23:00
DraftKings🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 22:59
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:58
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:57
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.25%E -6.25%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:00
SportsBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:00
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 23:00
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:59
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 23:19
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 23:19
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:19
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:19
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 23:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-03-08 23:15
Novig3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%0.6%2026-03-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-03-08 23:15