La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marton Fucsovics v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Predicción 30.49%3.28momio equitativo
EV +3.68%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.056%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%30.63%30.49%32.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 69.51%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -6.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%69.37%69.51%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.13%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.68%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.895%E -0.275%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.20%E -0.370%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 23:13 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| GTbets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 22:57 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.25%E -6.25%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 23:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Novig | 3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |