StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marton Fucsovics v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marton Fucsovics (Heim)

Prognose 30.49%3.28faire Quote
EV +3.68%
Vorteil +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Wachstum +0.056%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.12%30.63%30.49%32.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.51%1.44faire Quote
EV -2.69%
Vorteil -1.92%
Kelly -6.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.44%69.37%69.51%71.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.13%73.53%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marton Fucsovics (Heim): 30.49%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 69.51%. Für Marton Fucsovics (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.28. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.68%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.68%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:58
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.895%E -0.275%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:20
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.20%E -0.370%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-08 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:15
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 23:13
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 23:00
DraftKings🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 22:59
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:58
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:57
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.25%E -6.25%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:00
SportsBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:00
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 23:00
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:59
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 23:19
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 23:19
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:19
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:19
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 23:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-03-08 23:15
Novig3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%0.6%2026-03-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-03-08 23:15