L’École des cotes

Marton Fucsovics v Arthur Fils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Prévision 30.49%3.28cote équitable
EV +3.68%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%30.63%30.49%32.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arthur Fils (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.51%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -6.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.44%69.37%69.51%71.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.13%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.68%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:58
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.895%E -0.275%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:20
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.20%E -0.370%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-08 23:00
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:14
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:15
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 23:20
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 23:13
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:00
Unibet (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 23:00
DraftKings3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 23:19
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 22:59
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:58
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:57
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.25%E -6.25%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:00
SportsBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:00
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 23:00
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:20
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:59
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 23:19
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 23:19
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:19
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:10
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 23:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-03-08 23:15
Novig3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%0.6%2026-03-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-03-08 23:15