مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marton Fucsovics v Arthur Fils

البداية: 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marton Fucsovics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.49%3.28السعر العادل
EV +3.68%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.53%
النمو +0.056%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%30.63%30.49%32.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.053.053.4035.09%32.75%32.79%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fils (الضيف)

التنبؤ 69.51%1.44السعر العادل
EV -2.69%
الأفضلية -1.92%
Kelly -6.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.44%69.37%69.51%71.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.13%73.53%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.68%E +1.08%K +1.53%G +0.056%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:58
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.895%E -0.275%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:20
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -1.20%E -0.370%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-08 23:00
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:14
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:15
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.42%E -0.756%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 23:20
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.03%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 23:13
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 23:00
Unibet (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.86%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 23:00
DraftKings3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 23:19
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 22:59
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:00
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:58
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:57
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.25%E -6.25%K -25.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:00
SportsBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:00
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 23:00
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:20
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 22:59
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:59
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:20
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:19
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 23:00
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 23:19
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 23:19
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:59
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:19
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 23:10
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 23:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-03-08 23:15
Novig3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%0.6%2026-03-08 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-03-08 23:15