语言:简体中文
Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista Agut
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fabian Marozsan (主队)
预测 75.06%1.33公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -8.08%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
72.49%74.86%75.10%76.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.77%78.74%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Roberto Bautista Agut (客队)
预测 24.94%4.01公平赔率
EV +2.26%
优势 +0.551%
Kelly +0.729%
增长率 +0.016%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.36%25.14%24.90%27.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.773.804.1029.41%26.54%26.32%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fabian Marozsan (主队)：75.06%；Roberto Bautista Agut (客队)：24.94%。 对于“Roberto Bautista Agut (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.01。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.10，对应+2.26%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.26%E +0.551%K +0.729%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +1.01%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 20:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 22:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.73%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.42%E -1.86%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |