Школа коэффициентов

Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista Agut

Начало: 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

61 букмекерская контора (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Хозяева)

Прогноз 75.06%1.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.42%
Преимущество -1.86%
Kelly -8.08%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.49%74.86%75.10%76.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.77%78.74%76.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Roberto Bautista Agut (Гости)

Прогноз 24.94%4.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.26%
Преимущество +0.551%
Kelly +0.729%
Рост +0.016%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.36%25.14%24.90%27.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.773.804.1029.41%26.54%26.32%24.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.26%E +0.551%K +0.729%G +0.016%4.4%2026-03-05 22:30
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +1.01%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003%3.4%2026-03-05 22:05
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 21:55
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 22:30
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 22:00
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:30
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:05
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 21:49
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 20:25
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 22:03
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.73%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 18:50
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 18:45
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:50
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:05
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:55
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:40
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:49
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:40
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 18:45
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:39
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:40
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.42%E -1.86%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:39
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 18:40
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 18:40
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-05 22:30