مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista Agut
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Fabian Marozsan (المضيف)
التنبؤ 75.06%1.33السعر العادل
EV -2.42%
الأفضلية -1.86%
Kelly -8.08%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.49%74.86%75.10%76.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.77%78.74%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Roberto Bautista Agut (الضيف)
التنبؤ 24.94%4.01السعر العادل
EV +2.26%
الأفضلية +0.551%
Kelly +0.729%
النمو +0.016%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.36%25.14%24.90%27.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.773.804.1029.41%26.54%26.32%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.26%E +0.551%K +0.729%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +1.01%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 20:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 22:03 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.73%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:55 |
| Fliff | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:39 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.42%E -1.86%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:39 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |