La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista Agut
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fabian Marozsan (Casa)
Previsione 75.06%1.33quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -8.08%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.49%74.86%75.10%76.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.77%78.74%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Roberto Bautista Agut (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.94%4.01quota equa
EV +2.26%
Vantaggio +0.551%
Kelly +0.729%
Crescita +0.016%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.36%25.14%24.90%27.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.773.804.1029.41%26.54%26.32%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.26%E +0.551%K +0.729%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +1.01%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 20:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 22:03 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.73%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:55 |
| Fliff | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:39 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.42%E -1.86%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 21:39 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |