Die Wettquotenschule

Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista Agut

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Heim)

Prognose 75.06%1.33faire Quote
EV -2.42%
Vorteil -1.86%
Kelly -8.08%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.49%74.86%75.10%76.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.77%78.74%76.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Roberto Bautista Agut (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.94%4.01faire Quote
EV +2.26%
Vorteil +0.551%
Kelly +0.729%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.36%25.14%24.90%27.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.773.804.1029.41%26.54%26.32%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.26%E +0.551%K +0.729%G +0.016%4.4%2026-03-05 22:30
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +1.01%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003%3.4%2026-03-05 22:05
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 21:55
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 22:30
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 22:00
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:30
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:05
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 21:49
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 20:25
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 22:03
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.73%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 18:50
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 18:45
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:50
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:05
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:55
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:40
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:49
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:40
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 18:45
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:39
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:40
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.42%E -1.86%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:39
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 18:40
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 18:40
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-05 22:30