StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista Agut

Aanvang: 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

61 wedaanbieders (23 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Fabian Marozsan (Thuis)

Prognose 75.06%1.33margevrije odds
EV -2.42%
Voordeel -1.86%
Kelly -8.08%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.30

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
72.49%74.86%75.10%76.64%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.77%78.74%76.92%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Roberto Bautista Agut (Uit)

Prognose 24.94%4.01margevrije odds
EV +2.26%
Voordeel +0.551%
Kelly +0.729%
Groei +0.016%

bij maximale odds 4.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
23.36%25.14%24.90%27.51%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.403.773.804.1029.41%26.54%26.32%24.39%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Fabian Marozsan (Thuis): 75.06%; Roberto Bautista Agut (Uit): 24.94%. Voor Roberto Bautista Agut (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.01. 2 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 4.10, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +2.26%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (61 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.26%E +0.551%K +0.729%G +0.016%4.4%2026-03-05 22:30
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +1.01%E +0.250%K +0.332%G +0.003%3.4%2026-03-05 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 22:30
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -2.23%E -0.569%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:05
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 21:49
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.73%E -0.700%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 22:03
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -3.73%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 18:45
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:55
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 18:45
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:39
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.42%E -1.86%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 21:39
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 18:40
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.92%E -3.07%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.95%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 18:40
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 21:50
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-05 22:30