StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen

Matchstart: 2026-03-11 20:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniil Medvedev (Hemma)

Prognos 77.39%1.29rättvist odds
EV +1.39%
Fördel +1.06%
Kelly +4.47%
Tillväxt +0.062%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
70.29%76.80%77.36%79.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.171.231.221.3185.47%81.18%81.97%76.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Borta)

Prognos 22.61%4.42rättvist odds
EV +1.73%
Fördel +0.384%
Kelly +0.493%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.63%23.20%22.64%29.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.104.044.104.5032.26%24.73%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Daniil Medvedev (Hemma): 77.39%; Alex Michelsen (Borta): 22.61%. För Alex Michelsen (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.42. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.73%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 19:45
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 20:13
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -29.92%E -9.65%K -14.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +0.612%E +0.471%K +2.04%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 19:30
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.162%E -0.125%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 16:35
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.88%E -5.97%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:55
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -25.40%E -7.70%K -11.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 20:13
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -6.19%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 20:00
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -12.51%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:03
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 20:03
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 20:04
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 20:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:03
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 19:54
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 20:14
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 20:05
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 20:15
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%4.9%2026-03-11 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:15
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:15
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-11 20:15
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91%2.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15