Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 77.39%1.29kurs godziwy
EV +1.39%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +4.47%
Wzrost +0.062%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.31
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.29%76.80%77.36%79.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.231.221.3185.47%81.18%81.97%76.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alex Michelsen (Goście)
Prognoza 22.61%4.42kurs godziwy
EV +1.73%
Przewaga +0.384%
Kelly +0.493%
Wzrost +0.009%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.63%23.20%22.64%29.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.104.044.104.5032.26%24.73%24.39%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -29.92%E -9.65%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +0.612%E +0.471%K +2.04%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.162%E -0.125%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 16:35 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.88%E -5.97%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -25.40%E -7.70%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -6.19%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -12.51%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:04 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |