Die Wettquotenschule

Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-11 20:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Heim)

Prognose 77.39%1.29faire Quote
EV +1.39%
Vorteil +1.06%
Kelly +4.47%
Wachstum +0.062%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.29%76.80%77.36%79.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.171.231.221.3185.47%81.18%81.97%76.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.61%4.42faire Quote
EV +1.73%
Vorteil +0.384%
Kelly +0.493%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.63%23.20%22.64%29.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.104.044.104.5032.26%24.73%24.39%22.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 19:45
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 20:13
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -29.92%E -9.65%K -14.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 20:10
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +0.612%E +0.471%K +2.04%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 19:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.162%E -0.125%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 16:35
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.88%E -5.97%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:55
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 20:00
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -25.40%E -7.70%K -11.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 20:13
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -6.19%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 20:05
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 20:00
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -12.51%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:03
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 20:03
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 20:04
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 20:05
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 20:00
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:03
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 19:54
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 20:14
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 20:05
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 20:15
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%4.9%2026-03-11 20:15
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 20:15
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 20:15
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:15
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:15
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 20:15
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-11 20:15
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91%2.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15