L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prévision 77.39%1.29cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +4.47%
Croissance +0.062%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.29%76.80%77.36%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.221.3185.47%81.18%81.97%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.61%4.42cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.384%
Kelly +0.493%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%23.20%22.64%29.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.104.044.104.5032.26%24.73%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -29.92%E -9.65%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +0.612%E +0.471%K +2.04%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.162%E -0.125%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 16:35 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.88%E -5.97%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -25.40%E -7.70%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -6.19%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -12.51%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:04 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |