La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniil Medvedev (Casa)
Previsione 77.39%1.29quota equa
EV +1.39%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +4.47%
Crescita +0.062%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.29%76.80%77.36%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.231.221.3185.47%81.18%81.97%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alex Michelsen (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.61%4.42quota equa
EV +1.73%
Vantaggio +0.384%
Kelly +0.493%
Crescita +0.009%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.63%23.20%22.64%29.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.104.044.104.5032.26%24.73%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -29.92%E -9.65%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +0.612%E +0.471%K +2.04%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.162%E -0.125%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 16:35 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.88%E -5.97%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -25.40%E -7.70%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -6.19%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -12.51%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:04 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |