La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Predicción 77.39%1.29momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +4.47%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.29%76.80%77.36%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.231.221.3185.47%81.18%81.97%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex Michelsen (Visitante)
Predicción 22.61%4.42momio equitativo
EV +1.73%
Ventaja +0.384%
Kelly +0.493%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%23.20%22.64%29.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.104.044.104.5032.26%24.73%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -29.92%E -9.65%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 20:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +0.612%E +0.471%K +2.04%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.162%E -0.125%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 16:35 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.88%E -5.97%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -25.40%E -7.70%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:13 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -6.19%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -12.51%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:04 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 20:03 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 20:15 |