مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniil Medvedev v Alex Michelsen

البداية: 2026-03-11 20:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.39%1.29السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +1.06%
Kelly +4.47%
النمو +0.062%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.29%76.80%77.36%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.231.221.3185.47%81.18%81.97%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex Michelsen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.61%4.42السعر العادل
EV +1.73%
الأفضلية +0.384%
Kelly +0.493%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.63%23.20%22.64%29.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.104.044.104.5032.26%24.73%24.39%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 19:45
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 20:13
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV +1.39%E +1.06%K +4.47%G +0.062%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -29.92%E -9.65%K -14.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 20:10
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +0.612%E +0.471%K +2.04%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 19:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.162%E -0.125%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 16:35
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.88%E -5.97%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:55
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -0.936%E -0.731%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -22.01%E -6.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 20:00
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -1.71%E -1.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -25.40%E -7.70%K -11.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 20:13
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -6.19%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 20:05
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 20:00
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -12.51%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:03
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 20:03
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.48%E -1.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 20:04
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 20:05
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 20:00
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:03
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.62%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 19:54
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -6.86%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 20:14
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -13.65%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 20:05
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.03%E -3.25%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 20:15
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%4.9%2026-03-11 20:15
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -3.92%E -0.923%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 20:15
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 20:15
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:15
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 20:15
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.12%E -0.489%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 20:15
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.32%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%7.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 20:15
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.73%E +0.384%K +0.493%G +0.009%7.7%2026-03-11 20:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-11 20:15
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91%2.0%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-03-11 20:15
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-03-11 20:15