StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar

Matchstart: 2026-03-06 01:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alejandro Tabilo (Hemma)

Prognos 42.33%2.36rättvist odds
EV +1.60%
Fördel +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
Tillväxt +0.018%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 57.67%1.73rättvist odds
EV +3.80%
Fördel +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
Tillväxt +0.181%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alejandro Tabilo (Hemma): 42.33%; Rafael Jodar (Borta): 57.67%. För Rafael Jodar (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.73. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.80%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181%7.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:59
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 01:00
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 01:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 01:00
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:52
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:30
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 01:00
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:49
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 01:00
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:57
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:57
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 01:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%6.7%2026-03-06 01:00