Langue:Français
Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prévision 42.33%2.36cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.67%1.73cote équitable
EV +3.80%
Avantage +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
Croissance +0.181%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alejandro Tabilo (Local) : 42.33% ; Rafael Jodar (Visiteur) : 57.67%. Pour Rafael Jodar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.73. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.80, soit une espérance positive de +3.80%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |