Sprache:Deutsch
Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Alejandro Tabilo (Heim)
Prognose 42.33%2.36faire Quote
EV +1.60%
Vorteil +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
Wachstum +0.018%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.40
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Auswärts)
Prognose 57.67%1.73faire Quote
EV +3.80%
Vorteil +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
Wachstum +0.181%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alejandro Tabilo (Heim): 42.33%; Rafael Jodar (Auswärts): 57.67%. Für Rafael Jodar (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.73. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.80 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.80%.
Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |