Szkoła Kursów

Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar

Początek: 2026-03-06 01:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.33%2.36kurs godziwy
EV +1.60%
Przewaga +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
Wzrost +0.018%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rafael Jodar (Goście)

Prognoza 57.67%1.73kurs godziwy
EV +3.80%
Przewaga +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
Wzrost +0.181%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181%7.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:59
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:00
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:00
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 01:00
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:59
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 01:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 01:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:52
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 01:00
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:49
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:20
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 01:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 01:00
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:57
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:57
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 01:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%6.7%2026-03-06 01:00