La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Predicción 42.33%2.36momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 57.67%1.73momio equitativo
EV +3.80%
Ventaja +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
Crecimiento +0.181%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:52 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Novig | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |