مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar

البداية: 2026-03-06 01:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.33%2.36السعر العادل
EV +1.60%
الأفضلية +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rafael Jodar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.67%1.73السعر العادل
EV +3.80%
الأفضلية +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
النمو +0.181%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181%7.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:59
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:00
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:00
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 01:00
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:59
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 01:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 01:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:52
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 01:00
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:49
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:20
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 01:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 01:00
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:57
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:57
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 01:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%6.7%2026-03-06 01:00