A Escola das Odds

Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar

Início: 2026-03-06 01:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 42.33%2.36odd justa
EV +1.60%
Vantagem +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Previsão 57.67%1.73odd justa
EV +3.80%
Vantagem +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
Crescimento +0.181%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181%7.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:00
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:59
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:00
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:01
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:00
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 01:00
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:59
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 01:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 23:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 01:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:52
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 01:00
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:49
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:54
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:20
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 01:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 01:00
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:57
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:57
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 01:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-03-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-06 01:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-03-06 01:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-03-06 01:00
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%6.7%2026-03-06 01:00