Idioma:Português
Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Previsão 42.33%2.36odd justa
EV +1.60%
Vantagem +0.665%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.018%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.85%42.73%42.11%48.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.202.202.4052.36%45.41%45.45%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Previsão 57.67%1.73odd justa
EV +3.80%
Vantagem +2.11%
Kelly +4.75%
Crescimento +0.181%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.48%57.27%57.89%60.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.651.651.8064.10%60.77%60.61%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 42.33%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 57.67%. Para Rafael Jodar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.73. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.80%.
Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -19.15%E -10.02%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.80%E +2.11%K +4.75%G +0.181% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -7.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.234%E -0.135%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.39%E -0.811%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.83%E -4.62%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.96%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.72%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.56%E -3.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.097%E -0.041%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.521%E -0.222%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.31%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.10%E -5.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.21%E -0.958%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.37%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.60%E +0.665%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.31%E -5.22%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -0.944%E -0.403%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.04%E -6.43%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |