默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik

开赛时间: 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mattia Bellucci (主队)

预测 29.12%3.43公平赔率
EV +0.458%
优势 +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alexander Bublik (客队)

预测 70.88%1.41公平赔率
EV -2.18%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Mattia Bellucci (主队):29.12%;Alexander Bublik (客队):70.88%。 对于“Mattia Bellucci (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.43。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.45,对应+0.458%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 07:50
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 09:19
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 08:40
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:20
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:20
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 06:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 07:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 07:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:21
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 05:00
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:20
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:21
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:21
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:20
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 06:40
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 03:19
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 03:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 09:21
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 11:10
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:11
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:11
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 06:40
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 03:18
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 03:20
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 07:50
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:21
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 11:11
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 11:11
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 02:50
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:20
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 03:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:50
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:19
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 11:31
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:21
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-06-16 08:10