مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik

البداية: 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mattia Bellucci (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.12%3.43السعر العادل
EV +0.458%
الأفضلية +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Bublik (الضيف)

التنبؤ 70.88%1.41السعر العادل
EV -2.18%
الأفضلية -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 07:50
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 09:20
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 09:19
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 08:40
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:20
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:20
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 06:50
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 07:00
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 07:00
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:21
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 05:00
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:20
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:20
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:21
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:21
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 06:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 03:19
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 03:19
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 09:21
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 11:10
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 08:20
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:11
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:11
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 06:40
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 03:18
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 03:20
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 07:50
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:21
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 11:11
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 11:11
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 02:50
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:20
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 03:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:50
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:19
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 11:31
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:21
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-06-16 08:10