La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mattia Bellucci (Local)
Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV +0.458%
Ventaja +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 70.88%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 05:00 |
| ReBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| GTbets | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 03:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 11:31 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Novig | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |