Die Wettquotenschule

Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Mattia Bellucci (Heim)

Prognose 29.12%3.43faire Quote
EV +0.458%
Vorteil +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alexander Bublik (Auswärts)

Prognose 70.88%1.41faire Quote
EV -2.18%
Vorteil -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 07:50
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 09:20
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 09:19
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 08:40
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:20
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:20
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 06:50
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 07:00
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 07:00
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:21
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 05:00
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:20
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:20
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:21
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:21
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 06:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 03:19
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 03:19
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 09:21
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 11:10
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 08:20
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:11
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:11
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 06:40
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 03:18
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 03:20
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 07:50
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:21
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 11:11
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 11:11
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 02:50
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:20
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 03:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:50
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 02:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:19
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 11:31
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:21
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-06-16 08:10