Język:Polski
Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Mattia Bellucci (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 29.12%3.43kurs godziwy
EV +0.458%
Przewaga +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alexander Bublik (Goście)
Prognoza 70.88%1.41kurs godziwy
EV -2.18%
Przewaga -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Mattia Bellucci (Gospodarze): 29.12%; Alexander Bublik (Goście): 70.88%. Dla wyniku Mattia Bellucci (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.43. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.45, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.458%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 05:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 03:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 11:31 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |