Idioma:Português
Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Mattia Bellucci (Local)
Previsão 29.12%3.43odd justa
EV +0.458%
Vantagem +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
Crescimento +0.001%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Previsão 70.88%1.41odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mattia Bellucci (Local): 29.12%; Alexander Bublik (Visitante): 70.88%. Para Mattia Bellucci (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.43. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.458%.
Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 05:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 03:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 11:31 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |