Язык:Русский
Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mattia Bellucci (Хозяева)
Прогноз 29.12%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.458%
Преимущество +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Alexander Bublik (Гости)
Прогноз 70.88%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.18%
Преимущество -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mattia Bellucci (Хозяева): 29.12%; Alexander Bublik (Гости): 70.88%. Для исхода «Mattia Bellucci (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.43. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.45, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.458%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 05:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 03:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 11:31 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |