La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Mattia Bellucci v Alexander Bublik
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mattia Bellucci (Casa)
Previsione 29.12%3.43quota equa
EV +0.458%
Vantaggio +0.133%
Kelly +0.187%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.12%29.33%29.04%32.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexander Bublik (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.88%1.41quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.76%70.67%70.96%71.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.351.3876.92%74.53%74.07%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.458%E +0.133%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.998%E -0.293%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.732%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.33%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 05:00 |
| ReBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.91%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.89%E -2.11%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 06:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.85%E -6.04%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 07:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| GTbets | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.99%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:20 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 03:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:50 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 09:19 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.56%E -5.36%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.18%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 11:31 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:21 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Novig | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |