Language:English
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Nuno Borges
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prediction 66.80%1.50fair odd
EV -0.470%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.59%66.95%66.74%69.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.431.4972.46%70.40%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nuno Borges (Visit)
Prediction 33.20%3.01fair odd
EV +4.59%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.098%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.62%33.05%33.26%34.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.803.1536.36%35.09%35.71%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 66.80%; Nuno Borges (Visit): 33.20%. For Nuno Borges (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +4.59%E +1.46%K +2.13%G +0.098% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +2.92%E +0.944%K +1.39%G +0.041% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.26%E +0.415%K +0.617%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.063%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.39%E -0.468%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.14%E -2.17%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -0.470%E -0.316%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -5.71%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -8.36%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 12:38 |