مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Nuno Borges

البداية: 2026-05-24 12:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.80%1.50السعر العادل
EV -0.470%
الأفضلية -0.316%
Kelly -0.960%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.59%66.95%66.74%69.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.421.431.4972.46%70.40%69.93%67.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nuno Borges (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.20%3.01السعر العادل
EV +4.59%
الأفضلية +1.46%
Kelly +2.13%
النمو +0.098%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.62%33.05%33.26%34.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.852.803.1536.36%35.09%35.71%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +4.59%E +1.46%K +2.13%G +0.098%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +2.92%E +0.944%K +1.39%G +0.041%2.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.26%E +0.415%K +0.617%G +0.008%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-24 12:40
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-24 12:40
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.063%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.39%E -0.468%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.14%E -2.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 12:39
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 12:40
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 12:40
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -0.470%E -0.316%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -5.71%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 12:40
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:39
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:39
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -8.36%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 12:39
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 12:39
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-05-24 12:40
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%3.5%2026-05-24 12:38