La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Nuno Borges
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Predicción 66.80%1.50momio equitativo
EV -0.470%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.960%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.59%66.95%66.74%69.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.421.431.4972.46%70.40%69.93%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nuno Borges (Visitante)
Predicción 33.20%3.01momio equitativo
EV +4.59%
Ventaja +1.46%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.098%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.62%33.05%33.26%34.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.852.803.1536.36%35.09%35.71%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +4.59%E +1.46%K +2.13%G +0.098% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +2.92%E +0.944%K +1.39%G +0.041% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.26%E +0.415%K +0.617%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.063%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.39%E -0.468%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.14%E -2.17%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betsson | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -0.470%E -0.316%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -5.71%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -8.36%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Fliff | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 12:38 |