Lingua:Italiano
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Nuno Borges
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa)
Previsione 66.80%1.50quota equa
EV -0.470%
Vantaggio -0.316%
Kelly -0.960%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.59%66.95%66.74%69.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.421.431.4972.46%70.40%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Nuno Borges (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.20%3.01quota equa
EV +4.59%
Vantaggio +1.46%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescita +0.098%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.62%33.05%33.26%34.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.852.803.1536.36%35.09%35.71%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa): 66.80%; Nuno Borges (Trasferta): 33.20%. Per Nuno Borges (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.01. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.15, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.59%.
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +4.59%E +1.46%K +2.13%G +0.098% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +2.92%E +0.944%K +1.39%G +0.041% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.26%E +0.415%K +0.617%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.063%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.39%E -0.468%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.14%E -2.17%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -0.470%E -0.316%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -5.71%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -8.36%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 12:38 |