StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Nuno Borges

Matchstart: 2026-05-24 12:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Hemma)

Prognos 66.80%1.50rättvist odds
EV -0.470%
Fördel -0.316%
Kelly -0.960%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.59%66.95%66.74%69.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.421.431.4972.46%70.40%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nuno Borges (Borta)

Prognos 33.20%3.01rättvist odds
EV +4.59%
Fördel +1.46%
Kelly +2.13%
Tillväxt +0.098%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.62%33.05%33.26%34.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.852.803.1536.36%35.09%35.71%31.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Hemma): 66.80%; Nuno Borges (Borta): 33.20%. För Nuno Borges (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.01. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.15, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.59%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +4.59%E +1.46%K +2.13%G +0.098%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +2.92%E +0.944%K +1.39%G +0.041%2.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.26%E +0.415%K +0.617%G +0.008%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-24 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004%3.8%2026-05-24 12:40
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.063%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.39%E -0.468%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.14%E -2.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 12:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -0.470%E -0.316%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -5.71%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:39
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:39
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -8.36%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 12:39
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 12:39
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-05-24 12:40
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%3.5%2026-05-24 12:38