Langue:Français
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Nuno Borges
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prévision 66.80%1.50cote équitable
EV -0.470%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.960%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.59%66.95%66.74%69.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.421.431.4972.46%70.40%69.93%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nuno Borges (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.20%3.01cote équitable
EV +4.59%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.098%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.62%33.05%33.26%34.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.852.803.1536.36%35.09%35.71%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local) : 66.80% ; Nuno Borges (Visiteur) : 33.20%. Pour Nuno Borges (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.01. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.15, soit une espérance positive de +4.59%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +4.59%E +1.46%K +2.13%G +0.098% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +2.92%E +0.944%K +1.39%G +0.041% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.26%E +0.415%K +0.617%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV +0.933%E +0.307%K +0.457%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.063%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.39%E -0.468%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.14%E -2.17%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.38%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -0.470%E -0.316%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -5.71%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -8.36%E -3.03%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.81%E -2.65%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 12:38 |