Language:English
Yannick Hanfmann v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV +7.09%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%25.09%25.45%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.824.2528.57%26.40%26.18%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 74.80%1.34fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -9.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%74.91%74.55%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.35%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yannick Hanfmann (Local): 25.20%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 74.80%. For Yannick Hanfmann (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.09%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.154% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.31%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.55%E +0.627%K +0.831%G +0.021% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +2.05%E +0.505%K +0.671%G +0.014% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +1.04%E +0.259%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:13 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.24%E -0.845%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 09:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |