Langue:Français
Yannick Hanfmann v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Prévision 25.20%3.97cote équitable
EV +7.09%
Avantage +1.67%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.154%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%25.09%25.45%27.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.793.824.2528.57%26.40%26.18%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.80%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -9.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.92%74.91%74.55%77.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.35%79.37%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yannick Hanfmann (Local) : 25.20% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 74.80%. Pour Yannick Hanfmann (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.97. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +7.09%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.09%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.154% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.31%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.55%E +0.627%K +0.831%G +0.021% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +2.05%E +0.505%K +0.671%G +0.014% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +1.04%E +0.259%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:13 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.24%E -0.845%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 09:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |