StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Yannick Hanfmann v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 00:08 UTC

Endstand: Yannick Hanfmann 0–2 Arthur Fils

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Yannick Hanfmann (Heim)

Prognose 25.20%3.97faire Quote
EV +7.09%
Vorteil +1.67%
Kelly +2.18%
Wachstum +0.154%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%25.09%25.45%27.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.793.824.2528.57%26.40%26.18%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 74.80%1.34faire Quote
EV -2.76%
Vorteil -2.12%
Kelly -9.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.92%74.91%74.55%77.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.35%79.37%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Yannick Hanfmann (Heim): 25.20%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 74.80%. Für Yannick Hanfmann (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.97. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.09%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.09%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.154%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 19:15
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.31%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 23:00
Pinnacle🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.55%E +0.627%K +0.831%G +0.021%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +2.05%E +0.505%K +0.671%G +0.014%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:49
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +1.04%E +0.259%K +0.345%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 00:05
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:45
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 21:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 21:34
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 00:04
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 14:14
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:09
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 23:59
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:19
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:13
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Fliff🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.24%E -0.845%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:34
GTbets🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 09:08
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 09:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 23:15
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 21:29
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 21:29
DraftKings🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 00:00
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 00:05
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 00:04
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 23:54
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 00:04
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 00:04
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 00:00
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:09
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:53
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:53
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 00:05
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
ProphetX◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-08-16 00:05
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-08-16 00:05
Novig◎4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17%2.8%2026-08-16 00:05